Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–10 on winners spread MAE 6.0 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +3.6 138.4 70% 76–91 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +15.0 140.8 90% 63–68 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +3.7 138.0 66% 62–66 ✓
USC @ Rutgers -1.7 156.6 39% 97–89 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +7.7 133.8 81% 56–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +12.3 140.1 87% 57–74 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +5.6 144.7 71% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +13.0 130.7 87% 55–67 ✓
Oklahoma @ Georgia +2.6 145.4 63% 81–75 ✗
UCF @ Kansas +9.4 151.8 84% 94–98 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +7.9 152.2 82% 53–73 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado +2.5 147.5 60% 91–83 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +9.6 144.7 84% 75–98 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis -3.1 148.2 28% 86–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +10.0 152.6 84% 67–96 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +3.7 130.7 63% 59–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Duke +20.8 143.9 91% 70–78 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +11.2 147.6 86% 57–78 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +3.7 141.2 69% 59–72 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -0.8 152.3 57% 92–96 ✗
South Florida @ Wichita State +2.8 139.6 65% 68–73 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss +1.6 150.9 61% 80–83 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo -2.1 160.6 44% 85–90 ✗
Alabama State @ Texas Southern -0.2 136.7 48% 84–79 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Louis +4.6 140.2 72% 75–83 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +5.8 140.5 78% 63–70 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier -0.4 143.9 55% 89–87 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -4.0 147.0 30% 68–59 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +11.9 149.6 86% 52–63 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +8.8 145.3 82% 59–64 ✓
Colorado @ Houston +15.7 127.5 88% 68–77 ✓
Texas @ Texas A&M +3.8 144.7 68% 94–89 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +7.7 148.9 79% 75–81 ✓
Fordham @ George Washington +9.7 143.3 83% 81–88 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +0.5 133.3 54% 62–52 ✗
Morgan State @ Howard +2.7 153.7 58% 91–90 ✗
Manhattan @ Iona -1.2 145.7 47% 65–77 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +11.9 165.4 82% 94–106 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +11.0 142.3 86% 66–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Kennesaw State -1.0 133.9 52% 77–80 ✗
Baylor @ Texas Tech +4.9 142.9 79% 74–76 ✓
Stanford @ Louisville +9.7 137.4 85% 73–75 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +4.8 141.7 67% 75–71 ✗
DePaul @ Creighton +10.7 145.6 86% 81–85 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +10.1 142.6 84% 70–75 ✓
Mississippi State @ Missouri +3.5 160.7 72% 73–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.