The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–8 on winners spread MAE 7.9 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina Upstate @ Tennessee +29.4 140.1 91% 52–96 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +34.0 142.4 91% 49–89 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Troy +8.1 138.2 80% 57–66 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ East Tennessee State +10.9 140.9 80% 69–67 ✗
Saint Francis @ Hartford +2.0 153.0 60% 81–66 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Towson +13.0 134.7 86% 64–74 ✓
Austin Peay @ South Florida +0.9 130.2 48% 51–60 ✓
Florida A&M @ Cincinnati +17.5 131.4 88% 50–77 ✓
VMI @ Wake Forest +15.4 152.3 88% 70–77 ✓
Furman @ North Carolina +11.2 158.3 82% 61–74 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Clemson +7.3 148.6 78% 76–89 ✓
Monmouth @ Yale -1.2 143.8 43% 69–60 ✓
UL Monroe @ Stephen F. Austin +11.5 149.4 83% 82–69 ✗
Grambling @ UAB +24.9 141.3 91% 61–79 ✓
South Carolina State @ Duke +30.5 158.4 91% 62–103 ✓
Louisiana @ Houston +26.7 146.5 91% 56–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ Texas Tech +22.5 144.2 90% 62–75 ✓
Tarleton State @ South Alabama +12.8 130.8 82% 62–69 ✓
UNC Asheville @ UT Martin -0.7 141.4 51% 68–79 ✗
Jackson State @ Northern Iowa +3.9 131.8 67% 56–66 ✓
DePaul @ UIC -6.9 148.0 20% 72–66 ✓
Arizona State @ Creighton +10.2 136.5 81% 58–57 ✗
Alcorn State @ Wichita State +13.0 131.2 88% 63–82 ✓
Georgia State @ Mississippi State +13.6 150.3 86% 50–79 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Minnesota +12.3 143.2 85% 71–79 ✓
Sam Houston @ North Texas +13.1 128.0 85% 55–65 ✓
Coppin State @ Drexel +11.1 146.2 86% 69–76 ✓
Jacksonville @ Southern Miss -5.9 126.8 23% 62–51 ✓
Texas Southern @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.5 147.3 58% 70–60 ✗
Alabama @ Memphis -2.5 156.9 42% 78–92 ✗
North Alabama @ Auburn +24.8 138.8 91% 44–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas +31.6 136.1 91% 31–63 ✓
Santa Clara @ Boise State +6.8 141.2 77% 60–72 ✓
UC Davis @ Oregon State +0.5 140.9 55% 71–64 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Pacific +0.5 137.7 50% 71–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Belmont +5.7 142.2 75% 68–76 ✓
Howard @ Georgetown +5.3 155.6 71% 73–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.