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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+2.7 | 132.2 | 64% | 58–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.0 | 139.7 | 86% | 93–98 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.1 | 131.2 | 19% | 82–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.3 | 147.7 | 29% | 79–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.0 | 130.6 | 87% | 61–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.8 | 142.5 | 65% | 70–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 132.9 | 73% | 77–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.3 | 138.7 | 86% | 60–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.4 | 142.6 | 87% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.