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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California Baptist
@
UC Riverside
|
+4.0 | 135.7 | 68% | 54–70 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Stanford
|
-0.3 | 143.1 | 55% | 69–72 | ✗ |
Yale
@
Iona
|
+5.1 | 147.0 | 69% | 77–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Pittsburgh
|
-6.3 | 134.4 | 27% | 56–52 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Seton Hall
|
+15.1 | 136.8 | 86% | 63–77 | ✓ |
UC San Diego
@
Seattle U
|
+2.0 | 141.2 | 58% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Chicago State
|
+4.6 | 128.7 | 61% | 70–59 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Princeton
|
+7.0 | 157.0 | 77% | 77–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.