Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–9 on winners spread MAE 8.9 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Tennessee +18.7 140.2 88% 44–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +23.7 150.2 91% 63–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech +0.5 137.7 51% 82–65 ✗
Furman @ High Point -6.0 150.8 34% 74–70 ✓
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +0.4 144.0 45% 70–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northeastern +5.8 133.6 76% 56–66 ✓
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +11.7 139.2 86% 61–74 ✓
Long Island University @ Delaware +12.7 152.9 87% 67–75 ✓
Longwood @ Georgetown +0.3 138.0 58% 83–91 ✓
Old Dominion @ East Carolina +9.8 137.2 82% 62–63 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M +15.6 142.6 86% 65–85 ✓
Davidson @ Charlotte -0.1 140.7 53% 75–58 ✓
Sacred Heart @ NJIT +9.5 139.7 81% 70–75 ✓
Indiana @ Syracuse -2.8 147.6 32% 110–112 ✗
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh -7.4 131.8 23% 54–53 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +10.6 142.0 85% 55–74 ✓
Siena @ Army +16.5 134.9 88% 83–67 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Manhattan +11.4 138.3 83% 73–78 ✓
Florida State @ Purdue +14.3 148.7 86% 65–93 ✓
Tulane @ Charleston +7.6 150.9 71% 77–81 ✓
Rider @ Ole Miss +8.3 137.5 78% 51–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston +36.4 139.5 91% 58–99 ✓
Texas State @ Rice +1.1 155.3 51% 80–69 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ South Dakota State +20.4 158.9 89% 90–99 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Omaha -5.7 135.8 19% 75–65 ✓
Jackson State @ Marquette +9.2 139.4 82% 54–83 ✓
Saint Louis @ Boise State +2.6 136.8 45% 86–82 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State +10.1 152.0 79% 101–94 ✗
Hawai'i @ Santa Clara +11.3 154.5 82% 58–70 ✓
Northwestern @ Wake Forest +5.5 150.9 68% 73–77 ✓
Clemson @ Rutgers +0.8 132.0 45% 64–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Creighton +11.1 138.7 83% 55–80 ✓
Duke @ Ohio State -1.9 153.0 53% 66–71 ✗
South Dakota @ San José State +8.4 141.7 78% 52–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ San Diego State +14.1 141.6 87% 47–72 ✓
Pepperdine @ Nevada +12.8 150.2 85% 66–79 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina Upstate +5.0 138.3 61% 67–65 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Asheville -0.9 146.5 49% 58–65 ✗
American University @ Stony Brook +11.5 148.5 86% 57–80 ✓
Central Michigan @ Xavier +26.8 141.9 91% 45–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.