Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–4 on winners spread MAE 12.4 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Michigan @ Kentucky +30.0 149.3 91% 57–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb +7.3 141.8 71% 58–83 ✓
Lafayette @ Columbia +5.0 146.4 73% 73–50 ✗
Iowa @ Virginia -1.6 144.0 27% 75–74 ✓
South Florida @ Boston College +9.6 125.9 78% 49–64 ✓
Cornell @ Canisius -2.7 153.5 43% 89–75 ✓
Niagara @ Colgate +5.6 143.1 70% 70–59 ✗
East Texas A&M @ South Alabama +9.5 132.3 83% 66–69 ✓
Austin Peay @ TCU +6.9 137.8 78% 51–68 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Vanderbilt +28.8 141.0 91% 36–75 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts +1.8 147.8 53% 80–87 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas +24.7 132.2 90% 57–73 ✓
Morgan State @ Hampton +1.9 141.2 58% 60–47 ✗
UT Arlington @ UC Santa Barbara +22.7 137.5 90% 70–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Illinois +10.3 140.0 83% 72–82 ✓
Tarleton State @ Gonzaga +28.0 139.2 91% 55–64 ✓
Montana @ Oregon +4.0 137.1 65% 47–87 ✓
Wyoming @ Cal State Fullerton -2.4 134.1 35% 79–66 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Loyola Marymount -2.0 137.9 43% 78–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Saint Mary's +5.9 124.5 73% 50–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.