Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -28.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -18.8 (-2.8) | 128.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -22.4 (-6.4) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -24.7 (-8.7) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -24.9 (-8.9) | 131.3 (-1.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | TEX 79 – 63 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#9) | -5.1 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#44) | -1.55 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#34) | -1.87 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#39) | 0.424 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 9.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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