Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -29.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -27.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -20.4 (-4.4) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -22.5 (-6.5) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -27.0 (-11.0) | 143.1 (-1.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -27.2 (-11.2) | 143.1 (-1.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2021 | TEX 73 – 57 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#18) | -9.3 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#28) | -1.00 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#28) | -1.29 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#23) | 0.511 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 57.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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