Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +40 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.5 (+32.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.9 (+36.1) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -4.0 (+36.0) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -4.3 (+35.7) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -9.1 (+30.9) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | ORE 79 – 48 MONT |
| Nov 11, 2023 | ORE 75 – 61 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#247) | -4.5 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#228) | -0.24 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#220) | 0.49 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#133) | 0.503 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 15.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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