Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +14 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -3.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.6 (-11.4) | 156.4 (+7.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -3.8 (-10.2) | 157.1 (+6.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -1.6 (-12.4) | 155.1 (+8.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -2.7 (-11.3) | 153.5 (+10.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2022 | COR 79 – 70 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#265) | 5.0 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#267) | 1.76 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#280) | 1.81 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#288) | 0.552 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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