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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–13 on winners spread MAE 10.3 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +10.4 163.6 82% 87–103 ✓
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +6.9 139.0 73% 56–68 ✓
Butler @ UConn +12.8 144.0 86% 78–80 ✓
Texas Tech @ Cincinnati -1.2 131.8 38% 81–71 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia +6.3 129.2 73% 56–74 ✓
VCU @ Rhode Island -1.7 145.3 45% 81–57 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +2.2 130.3 58% 75–62 ✗
Dayton @ Duquesne -0.5 139.7 47% 82–62 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +0.6 148.2 56% 78–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +9.5 148.3 85% 70–72 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +0.5 143.1 51% 83–64 ✗
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +12.3 151.7 87% 76–84 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +5.2 142.0 70% 82–80 ✗
Akron @ Buffalo -9.8 156.8 18% 90–58 ✓
Ohio State @ Purdue +7.5 141.7 76% 73–70 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +10.6 158.5 84% 78–81 ✓
Bradley @ Belmont -2.7 150.8 38% 89–77 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +16.3 158.0 88% 83–108 ✓
Marquette @ Seton Hall -13.1 140.2 14% 76–59 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulsa -3.0 140.9 42% 85–76 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +11.1 139.5 85% 68–79 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +10.9 153.3 85% 81–85 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +0.4 147.8 47% 80–81 ✓
Missouri @ Texas +1.4 149.6 57% 53–61 ✓
Arizona State @ West Virginia +6.6 135.2 77% 65–57 ✗
Louisville @ SMU +2.2 154.1 61% 98–73 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma State -10.4 148.0 20% 92–78 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest -1.5 144.9 48% 66–67 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +10.7 155.1 80% 72–67 ✗
Creighton @ DePaul -4.6 147.7 36% 73–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ UCLA +2.0 144.1 62% 83–85 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +12.6 148.2 86% 71–82 ✓
Wyoming @ UNLV +8.4 133.6 79% 63–61 ✗
BYU @ Colorado -2.8 144.1 44% 83–67 ✓
Utah @ Houston +16.4 133.7 86% 36–70 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +1.7 144.0 60% 76–71 ✗
Furman @ VMI -7.0 139.5 28% 82–91 ✗
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +1.6 147.1 58% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.