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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Valley State
@
Florida A&M
|
+15.6 | 138.5 | 89% | 53–83 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+16.7 | 148.3 | 90% | 64–73 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Colgate
|
+5.3 | 137.3 | 72% | 80–87 | ✓ |
Stonehill
@
Le Moyne
|
-2.5 | 144.2 | 42% | 72–73 | ✗ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Chicago State
|
-2.4 | 143.4 | 36% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Houston Christian
|
-4.9 | 143.4 | 33% | 72–76 | ✗ |
Idaho
@
Montana
|
+3.6 | 147.3 | 67% | 67–72 | ✓ |
Eastern Washington
@
Montana State
|
+5.1 | 141.6 | 70% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
North Carolina A&T
|
-2.6 | 144.0 | 36% | 74–73 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Eastern Michigan
|
-5.3 | 155.4 | 34% | 87–94 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.