And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–11 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ UTSA -11.0 159.8 16% 75–70 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +12.4 152.7 87% 71–100 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +13.6 160.4 89% 64–95 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +1.6 140.3 56% 73–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +5.3 138.6 68% 68–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +10.3 136.0 83% 75–99 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +11.6 145.6 85% 72–96 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +9.4 156.9 80% 74–89 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech -8.4 153.8 22% 91–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton +6.2 146.5 72% 67–75 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne -9.7 133.2 19% 71–62 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +8.4 134.8 78% 75–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +4.7 131.2 66% 71–79 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall -10.9 132.2 16% 79–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -9.8 155.1 19% 84–69 ✓
Kent State @ Western Michigan -7.8 138.3 24% 77–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +11.4 155.3 85% 83–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ball State -0.5 146.1 48% 69–67 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -4.0 146.2 36% 71–58 ✓
Akron @ Toledo -6.2 168.4 29% 96–87 ✓
Texas @ Mississippi State +5.4 151.7 69% 87–82 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +9.5 156.4 81% 85–98 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -4.8 139.0 33% 61–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa -3.3 152.3 38% 81–77 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -2.0 138.4 43% 73–75 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +3.9 139.9 64% 69–73 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M -7.6 146.8 25% 72–83 ✗
BYU @ Iowa State +6.0 152.9 71% 88–85 ✗
West Virginia @ Utah +0.0 136.5 50% 71–69 ✗
Florida State @ Virginia +1.5 134.6 56% 57–60 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +14.1 161.3 90% 75–77 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +14.3 145.9 90% 56–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada -0.8 150.4 47% 71–67 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -16.1 134.0 7% 80–57 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +5.7 148.4 70% 64–73 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +7.4 146.3 75% 114–116 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -0.4 144.8 48% 58–62 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +3.5 151.9 63% 90–77 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +14.4 153.0 90% 100–113 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -3.1 127.7 39% 67–74 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern +2.4 153.0 59% 64–78 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan -0.0 152.4 50% 71–65 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +6.5 146.0 72% 80–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.