Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–8 on winners spread MAE 8.0 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ Alabama +2.0 173.3 57% 99–94 ✗
Clemson @ Boston College -14.7 142.7 9% 78–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -0.4 146.1 49% 70–67 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +13.3 130.6 89% 57–68 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +5.5 126.9 69% 55–58 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.6 143.8 63% 56–71 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +16.8 144.9 94% 67–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +6.7 162.8 73% 70–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati +7.2 135.2 74% 54–49 ✗
Pittsburgh @ NC State -4.6 140.5 34% 63–71 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +9.7 152.7 81% 74–91 ✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +10.3 139.7 83% 72–73 ✓
La Salle @ George Mason +14.4 135.2 90% 62–69 ✓
George Washington @ Fordham -3.4 150.6 38% 81–58 ✓
Xavier @ Butler -1.0 152.8 46% 91–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +6.7 160.4 73% 63–83 ✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech +17.7 143.3 95% 75–91 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma -3.5 159.6 37% 84–96 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City +5.4 139.7 69% 56–73 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -8.5 140.6 22% 74–67 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +1.4 146.7 55% 66–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Old Dominion +0.1 138.6 50% 49–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Ole Miss -3.6 133.3 37% 76–78 ✗
California @ Louisville +16.2 152.0 93% 68–85 ✓
Stanford @ Notre Dame +1.7 143.9 56% 54–56 ✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago +3.4 142.8 62% 72–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood -0.1 134.9 49% 65–73 ✗
Washington @ USC +7.8 150.8 76% 61–92 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +0.7 161.8 53% 85–86 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State +5.2 140.6 68% 54–70 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +0.8 147.1 53% 81–77 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State -1.2 158.8 46% 71–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.