I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 9.9 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Duquesne -1.5 128.9 45% 62–59 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina +9.4 142.0 80% 67–53 ✗
Brown @ Vermont +1.5 133.9 55% 60–53 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +7.3 141.2 75% 79–80 ✓
Army @ Le Moyne +2.2 150.9 58% 103–100 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Akron +10.3 151.7 83% 73–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ New Hampshire +0.2 143.9 51% 69–65 ✗
Santa Clara @ McNeese +9.5 145.0 81% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ James Madison +3.4 146.4 62% 61–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Florida A&M +0.5 147.6 52% 63–66 ✓
High Point @ UNC Greensboro +7.0 133.2 74% 68–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +21.2 148.6 97% 69–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ George Mason +14.6 147.2 91% 52–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Miami -5.3 157.4 31% 76–73 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +11.7 149.1 86% 48–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +5.7 152.4 70% 71–82 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +16.1 156.4 93% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Queens University +0.3 144.9 51% 86–78 ✗
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga -1.2 143.7 46% 80–62 ✓
California @ Missouri +14.8 156.8 91% 93–98 ✓
South Carolina @ Boston College +2.5 140.3 59% 73–51 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +7.6 152.3 75% 77–69 ✗
La Salle @ Northeastern +4.6 144.1 66% 68–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Tennessee +33.0 153.1 100% 70–96 ✓
UT Martin @ Charleston Southern +3.4 133.4 62% 68–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Indiana +14.9 163.3 91% 71–97 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +18.0 145.0 95% 61–63 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +0.5 152.3 52% 83–60 ✗
Alabama State @ SMU +16.5 162.1 93% 72–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +15.9 146.2 93% 54–76 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +6.4 153.5 72% 67–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma +16.2 156.0 93% 61–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M +16.3 131.9 93% 44–57 ✓
Ole Miss @ Louisville +9.6 148.0 81% 86–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ Grand Canyon +8.5 154.7 78% 72–78 ✓
San Diego @ Arizona State +24.4 143.2 99% 53–90 ✓
Utah Tech @ Boise State +22.9 145.8 98% 64–87 ✓
Florida State @ LSU +6.5 148.3 72% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ Providence -4.0 140.4 36% 64–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Clemson +0.6 158.3 52% 66–70 ✓
UTSA @ Saint Mary's +24.7 150.6 99% 74–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stanford +11.4 150.5 85% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +23.7 130.2 98% 58–69 ✓
West Georgia @ Mercer +11.8 146.2 86% 72–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross +5.3 140.2 69% 67–68 ✓
Baylor @ UConn +5.2 158.1 68% 72–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -0.6 162.6 48% 88–77 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany -3.4 153.2 38% 73–88 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland +2.9 146.9 60% 59–83 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -2.1 163.1 43% 75–84 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.