I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–14 on winners spread MAE 8.7 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Iowa State -3.1 131.6 39% 53–57 ✗
Missouri @ Kentucky +16.2 161.1 93% 77–90 ✓
Texas @ Cincinnati +8.3 146.5 78% 74–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Florida State -2.4 153.6 41% 82–87 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia -2.7 141.6 40% 81–67 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers +6.8 135.0 73% 57–66 ✓
South Carolina @ Alabama +15.2 158.7 92% 47–74 ✓
Rhode Island @ Davidson +7.9 139.9 76% 79–74 ✗
VCU @ George Mason +6.5 135.5 72% 54–50 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +7.1 141.4 74% 80–64 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -8.3 134.9 23% 80–76 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +2.7 154.0 60% 90–95 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +5.3 159.8 68% 89–75 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -2.3 144.4 42% 86–65 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green +3.3 151.0 62% 78–83 ✓
Yale @ Brown -4.8 140.0 33% 80–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +8.4 140.8 78% 61–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +11.3 137.5 85% 73–90 ✓
Richmond @ Loyola Chicago -0.1 133.7 50% 58–56 ✓
Purdue @ Nebraska -9.8 150.9 19% 72–88 ✗
BYU @ Baylor -0.4 158.2 48% 72–81 ✗
Colorado State @ Boise State -1.5 145.3 45% 58–65 ✗
Wyoming @ Utah State +19.0 148.2 96% 59–83 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -18.3 142.3 5% 84–58 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +13.7 140.6 89% 69–77 ✓
Duke @ Pittsburgh -0.9 145.4 47% 75–53 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +10.1 148.3 82% 55–66 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +6.5 128.9 72% 75–68 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +18.7 131.2 96% 54–67 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV -2.7 152.1 40% 73–83 ✗
San Diego State @ San José State -10.2 139.7 18% 81–78 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -10.4 132.8 17% 68–58 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +5.6 121.1 70% 71–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Penn State +0.7 145.7 52% 76–72 ✗
Providence @ St. John's +7.6 141.0 76% 73–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +1.4 152.3 55% 85–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.