← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.4
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northeastern
@
Monmouth
|
+4.9 | 142.7 | 67% | 62–81 | ✓ |
Howard
@
South Carolina State
|
-3.1 | 161.6 | 39% | 82–78 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Morgan State
|
-2.6 | 148.4 | 41% | 78–66 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Southern
|
+9.3 | 145.3 | 80% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
North Carolina Central
|
+2.2 | 138.6 | 58% | 58–60 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Coppin State
|
+1.1 | 127.4 | 54% | 55–58 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Northwestern State
|
-21.3 | 142.7 | 3% | 68–59 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
Lamar
|
+8.6 | 163.8 | 78% | 59–75 | ✓ |
Houston Christian
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
+14.5 | 147.6 | 91% | 59–81 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Grambling
|
-0.6 | 126.8 | 48% | 54–52 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-3.4 | 161.8 | 38% | 83–72 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-8.1 | 138.4 | 23% | 78–70 | ✓ |
Columbia
@
Cornell
|
+11.4 | 166.7 | 85% | 79–91 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Georgetown
|
-4.5 | 144.3 | 34% | 74–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.