Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -700 HCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -14.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -11.9 (+10.1) | 145.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -11.4 (+10.6) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -11.8 (+10.2) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -12.0 (+10.0) | 145.9 (-5.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#247) | -14.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#259) | -4.06 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#275) | -5.10 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#206) | 0.384 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 21.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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