Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MORG +118 DSU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | DSU -2.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -2.8 (-9.2) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -2.9 (-9.1) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -3.6 (-8.4) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -3.0 (-9.0) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#353) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#352) | -1.19 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.50 (#346) | -1.45 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#341) | 0.430 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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