Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +162 HOW -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -3.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -3.9 (-0.1) | 151.8 (+8.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -3.8 (-0.2) | 154.5 (+5.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -4.4 (+0.4) | 153.4 (+6.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -4.8 (+0.8) | 153.5 (+6.5) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#340) | -4.5 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#342) | -1.11 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#340) | -1.12 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#334) | 0.428 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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