Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +1150 MCN -2400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -22.3 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -10.7 (+1.7) | 139.7 (-12.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -14.6 (+5.6) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -16.6 (+7.6) | 142.5 (-15.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.5 (+5.5) | 138.5 (-11.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | MCN 75 – 64 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2025 | MCN 92 – 54 NWST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN 83 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN 65 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2025 | MCN 92 – 69 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 17-1 |
| Home | 6-7 | 18-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -18.0 (#360) | 8.4 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.07 (#361) | 1.99 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.26 (#361) | 2.55 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#361) | 0.605 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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