Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | GRAM +105 TXSO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +2 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -0.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -1.2 (-3.2) | 133.0 (-27.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.6 (-2.6) | 131.2 (-25.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.1 (-2.1) | 132.5 (-26.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.5 (-2.5) | 133.3 (-27.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#341) | -8.3 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#330) | -1.75 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#321) | -3.13 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#305) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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