We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
27–11 on winners spread MAE 9.7 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Duquesne +13.5 148.6 89% 71–96 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Marshall +23.4 139.9 98% 65–91 ✓
Cornell @ Saint Francis +9.5 142.6 81% 80–77 ✗
Portland @ Kent State +20.0 157.1 97% 65–77 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +2.9 147.7 61% 68–67 ✗
Western Illinois @ UCF +2.7 154.2 60% 37–70 ✓
Navy @ Coppin State +3.2 150.1 61% 68–75 ✓
Lafayette @ Saint Joseph's +6.8 138.0 73% 59–63 ✓
Richmond @ Charleston +3.2 150.6 61% 90–92 ✓
George Washington @ Hofstra +22.0 157.3 98% 80–85 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Charlotte +19.3 139.3 96% 47–80 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Liberty -2.7 151.4 40% 63–79 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Georgia +17.7 146.5 95% 70–77 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida +15.7 146.8 92% 76–74 ✗
DePaul @ Minnesota +7.9 133.0 76% 69–53 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Houston +22.1 141.8 98% 45–83 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Baylor +36.1 154.2 100% 62–95 ✓
Northwestern State @ TCU +12.9 143.5 88% 64–63 ✗
Wofford @ Drake +14.3 146.7 90% 72–80 ✓
Belmont @ Lipscomb +13.3 149.4 89% 75–77 ✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas +9.8 154.0 81% 71–82 ✓
Idaho State @ Utah +18.9 122.3 96% 58–70 ✓
Butler @ Penn State +11.4 152.1 85% 62–68 ✓
Holy Cross @ Creighton +27.6 147.3 99% 65–94 ✓
Monmouth @ Illinois +34.2 142.4 100% 65–103 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Tennessee State +20.7 143.9 97% 76–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ Denver +7.5 123.0 75% 73–69 ✗
Santa Clara @ Utah State +16.6 148.7 93% 74–96 ✓
Weber State @ Colorado State +13.4 131.6 89% 52–77 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Air Force +13.6 139.4 89% 73–69 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Chicago State +18.7 143.8 96% 58–68 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Mississippi Valley State -12.3 142.7 13% 60–52 ✓
Norfolk State @ UCLA +16.9 147.2 94% 56–86 ✓
Utah Tech @ Washington +9.6 138.9 81% 67–78 ✓
Yale @ Hawai'i +2.5 123.4 59% 62–59 ✗
Stonehill @ Providence +15.9 160.7 93% 76–100 ✓
App State @ Louisville +2.8 142.9 60% 61–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Georgetown +6.9 146.6 73% 75–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.