The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–11 on winners spread MAE 7.5 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Michigan State +22.5 153.0 98% 67–79 ✓
Houston @ South Florida -19.3 114.9 4% 83–66 ✓
Alabama @ Florida -0.0 147.2 50% 83–70 ✓
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +21.1 130.7 97% 60–66 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +10.5 165.2 83% 88–99 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina +2.1 144.9 58% 80–88 ✓
Temple @ UCF +11.2 135.3 85% 66–62 ✗
Presbyterian @ North Carolina A&T +5.3 130.0 69% 57–65 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -12.2 141.3 13% 88–63 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Campbell +6.0 127.4 71% 60–54 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Louisville +12.7 124.3 88% 72–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -4.1 149.4 36% 64–60 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +11.6 148.7 85% 58–65 ✓
VCU @ Dayton +1.9 115.4 57% 53–52 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -1.7 142.3 44% 88–73 ✓
Massachusetts @ Richmond +8.9 161.3 79% 72–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford -1.1 138.0 46% 75–67 ✓
Samford @ Mercer +4.7 142.4 67% 80–83 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -2.6 136.6 41% 58–54 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +1.6 143.4 56% 79–80 ✓
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +2.3 160.2 58% 90–94 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +13.7 150.7 89% 67–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Miami +3.3 163.7 62% 87–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +3.0 126.6 61% 63–49 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova +11.9 130.9 86% 41–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -8.0 136.7 23% 72–67 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -4.0 150.7 36% 68–70 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling -6.3 132.8 28% 67–61 ✓
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +7.8 121.6 76% 65–50 ✗
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +2.2 123.5 58% 47–51 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -2.0 145.6 43% 73–78 ✗
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +6.8 135.7 73% 65–92 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley -0.3 134.8 49% 71–69 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +8.1 131.3 77% 74–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -8.8 135.3 21% 90–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco -5.6 135.8 31% 79–74 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese -0.2 149.5 49% 82–92 ✗
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate +0.6 128.9 52% 82–77 ✗
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +10.6 129.9 83% 77–72 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.8 150.4 84% 67–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.