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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–13 on winners spread MAE 10.8 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +5.5 140.9 69% 65–61 ✗
Stony Brook @ UNC Wilmington +14.6 140.9 88% 70–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +4.0 141.0 68% 60–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +17.2 148.8 90% 49–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +5.0 143.4 72% 71–90 ✓
UConn @ Marquette +7.6 142.1 71% 77–69 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami -6.0 149.1 35% 57–63 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +13.1 130.2 87% 61–63 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +3.1 141.9 68% 73–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -6.6 132.5 30% 62–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +8.1 146.5 83% 62–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +7.8 159.0 82% 62–80 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +1.2 130.8 70% 58–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +8.1 145.9 82% 57–75 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts -3.0 137.5 41% 67–73 ✗
Denver @ Omaha +8.8 146.0 85% 69–78 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -5.4 131.9 25% 76–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Kentucky +11.0 158.5 81% 89–79 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +12.8 149.5 85% 65–94 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +6.3 156.1 75% 82–63 ✗
Syracuse @ California +4.2 150.3 69% 75–66 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +6.5 134.6 75% 65–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +9.3 133.5 82% 54–85 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +8.8 149.5 85% 84–64 ✗
Washington State @ San Francisco +5.8 145.9 74% 51–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +2.1 142.4 61% 58–62 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +9.7 137.5 85% 57–82 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +7.4 159.3 76% 79–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +4.5 138.0 63% 64–87 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +3.1 126.9 63% 63–50 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +10.0 145.8 83% 56–59 ✓
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic +7.5 153.2 78% 72–94 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +0.5 151.5 61% 64–66 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State +3.2 141.0 68% 69–72 ✓
Manhattan @ Sacred Heart +2.2 155.9 71% 72–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +2.5 126.8 53% 79–64 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Siena -2.0 145.1 36% 75–84 ✗
Memphis @ Rice -9.6 144.9 21% 86–83 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +10.1 149.6 82% 80–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +3.5 152.9 71% 81–79 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +5.6 135.1 75% 57–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +0.1 137.7 51% 69–83 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +2.3 152.3 72% 62–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -3.9 129.3 31% 66–64 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul +4.4 136.3 66% 57–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.