Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SF -175 WSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +24 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SF -5.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -5.8 (+18.2) | 145.9 (-19.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -5.4 (+18.6) | 147.1 (-21.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -5.6 (+18.4) | 147.9 (-21.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -6.6 (+17.4) | 145.3 (-19.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | SF 85 – 80 WSU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | SF 86 – 75 WSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | WSU 91 – 82 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#75) | 5.8 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#59) | 1.14 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#61) | 1.75 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#57) | 0.557 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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