Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -140 SF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -3.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -3.7 (+5.3) | 148.5 (+24.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -3.6 (+5.4) | 146.9 (+26.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -3.3 (+5.7) | 148.0 (+25.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -2.5 (+6.5) | 148.6 (+24.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | SF 85 – 80 WSU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | SF 86 – 75 WSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SF 75 – 51 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#69) | 9.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#47) | 1.88 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#56) | 2.36 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#37) | 0.591 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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