Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SF -240 WSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SF -5.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -5.7 (+5.3) | 151.4 (+9.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -5.9 (+5.1) | 150.9 (+10.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -6.3 (+4.7) | 151.2 (+9.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -7.5 (+3.5) | 150.2 (+10.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | SF 85 – 80 WSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SF 75 – 51 WSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | WSU 91 – 82 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#66) | 3.5 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#53) | 0.87 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#59) | 1.29 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#44) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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