That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–9 on winners spread MAE 8.5 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Duke +10.8 147.3 86% 69–71 ✓
Michigan State @ Illinois +6.1 141.9 79% 55–56 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +15.8 136.2 88% 43–67 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +0.1 143.1 50% 63–73 ✓
William & Mary @ Charleston +11.2 151.0 85% 73–74 ✓
Fordham @ Dayton +13.3 128.8 86% 61–68 ✓
Columbia @ Yale +12.6 149.3 88% 72–83 ✓
Siena @ Iona +12.9 143.6 88% 57–74 ✓
Cincinnati @ Temple -2.2 138.1 45% 58–61 ✗
Missouri State @ Indiana State -6.7 142.9 25% 72–76 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +16.9 141.5 89% 62–74 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +6.5 156.5 76% 71–85 ✓
Akron @ Central Michigan -11.9 137.1 15% 60–56 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +12.8 134.3 86% 64–75 ✓
Buffalo @ Toledo +6.9 157.0 78% 75–86 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State -1.4 152.5 48% 64–81 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +14.3 132.5 88% 49–74 ✓
St. Thomas @ North Dakota State +3.1 142.3 74% 56–77 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh -3.2 138.2 43% 53–64 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +14.8 127.9 88% 47–59 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +2.3 135.3 63% 68–60 ✗
Auburn @ Missouri -10.8 143.7 21% 55–54 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +15.5 155.4 89% 73–96 ✓
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +10.0 146.1 83% 74–82 ✓
Texas @ TCU -1.1 122.4 43% 73–50 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +10.7 149.2 84% 66–77 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico -5.5 139.7 26% 65–60 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +3.6 130.1 72% 62–65 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon +6.6 140.0 72% 82–78 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge -4.8 130.4 25% 72–45 ✓
Air Force @ San José State -0.4 125.0 43% 63–53 ✓
Arizona @ UCLA -1.0 149.9 62% 59–75 ✗
Florida @ Tennessee +9.1 136.9 82% 71–78 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -2.4 142.1 37% 95–91 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +7.0 138.8 75% 65–62 ✗
Creighton @ Butler -6.0 127.3 30% 55–72 ✗
Northwestern @ Michigan +7.4 142.6 78% 70–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.