Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -800 CLEM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -13.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -10.8 (-8.8) | 147.3 (-7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -11.1 (-9.1) | 149.5 (-9.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -11.1 (-9.1) | 147.8 (-7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -11.9 (-9.9) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#11) | 7.6 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#21) | 0.91 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#10) | 1.30 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#27) | 0.541 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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