Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PITT +170 SYR -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -4.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -3.2 (+14.2) | 138.2 (-21.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -3.6 (+14.6) | 142.6 (-25.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -3.9 (+14.9) | 142.9 (-25.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -3.9 (+14.9) | 141.3 (-24.3) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-11 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#209) | 6.5 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#196) | 0.67 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#209) | 0.73 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#216) | 0.533 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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