Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +285 UCSB -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +27 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -4.3 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -4.8 (-22.2) | 130.4 (-13.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -3.2 (-23.8) | 133.7 (-16.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -2.7 (-24.3) | 133.6 (-16.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -3.3 (-23.7) | 133.4 (-16.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 8-5 |
| Home | 4-11 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#316) | -1.8 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#279) | -1.49 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#282) | -1.65 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#284) | 0.393 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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