Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NKU +110 WRST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -0.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.1 (+9.9) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.6 (+10.6) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.3 (+10.3) | 146.4 (-10.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -1.1 (+11.1) | 145.1 (-9.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#276) | -3.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#299) | -0.64 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#321) | -0.72 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#308) | 0.473 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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