What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Dakota @ Western Illinois +2.8 150.2 50% 75–72 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +6.2 136.9 79% 71–77 ✓
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville State +7.5 137.0 75% 60–65 ✓
Florida @ Ole Miss -5.1 133.6 32% 54–70 ✗
Towson @ Delaware -0.9 143.3 49% 69–62 ✓
Lafayette @ American University -0.4 137.6 41% 69–56 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern +0.9 136.4 47% 74–68 ✗
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +12.8 138.2 88% 54–67 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +9.4 138.0 81% 52–65 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +9.8 148.0 84% 62–82 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia +3.9 121.4 67% 52–64 ✓
New Hampshire @ Maine -13.1 129.4 17% 64–71 ✗
Hartford @ Binghamton +1.4 139.8 56% 64–74 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -3.8 153.4 34% 81–83 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M -1.0 126.7 45% 64–67 ✗
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman -1.1 129.3 35% 70–67 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.9 136.3 62% 75–63 ✗
South Carolina State @ Delaware State -8.5 136.5 16% 64–62 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona -0.2 137.5 45% 65–70 ✗
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +3.8 139.1 72% 68–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Murray State +17.4 142.2 89% 53–79 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +1.5 141.4 52% 70–76 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas Southern +12.8 139.4 88% 66–73 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern +18.3 153.1 90% 72–100 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +4.9 138.3 72% 48–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +8.4 140.9 85% 65–76 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas +5.5 136.9 79% 91–94 ✓
UNLV @ San Diego State +11.8 130.4 81% 55–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -9.7 143.0 17% 89–63 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +8.5 145.5 81% 74–78 ✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall +9.6 159.5 83% 84–63 ✗
Weber State @ Southern Utah +1.1 153.2 57% 92–84 ✗
Idaho @ Portland State +4.6 146.2 62% 84–79 ✗
Arizona State @ USC +12.9 138.9 87% 56–78 ✓
Richmond @ Rhode Island +2.9 135.4 61% 70–63 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia -13.4 162.3 17% 76–82 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.