Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -13.0 Push |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -1000 TNST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -14.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -12.8 (+0.2) | 138.2 (-17.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.4 (+1.6) | 140.8 (-19.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -11.8 (+1.2) | 138.9 (-17.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.2 (+1.8) | 138.1 (-17.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#132) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#71) | -1.80 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#79) | -2.31 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#82) | 0.379 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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