Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IDST +190 EWU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +26 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -9.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.7 (-16.3) | 143.0 (+9.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.9 (-17.1) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -9.3 (-16.7) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.5 (-16.5) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#352) | -3.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#352) | -0.34 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#352) | -0.54 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#353) | 0.476 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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