We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Rhode Island Rams
63 – 70
FINAL Conference
Richmond Spiders
Atlantic 10 Conference · Thomas M. Ryan Center · January 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICH -2.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money URI +125 / RICH -145
Model Predictions
Spread Total URI win
Actual RICH +7 133 Lost
Massey URI -3.7 (-10.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (-0.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ URI -2.9 (-9.9) 135.4 (-2.4) 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML URI -3.0 (-10.0) 136.8 (-3.8) 65% ✗
Baseline ML URI -3.2 (-10.2) 137.5 (-4.5) 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML URI -3.1 (-10.1) 136.8 (-3.8) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 URI 82 – 77 RICH
Jan 22, 2026 URI 69 – 68 RICH
Jan 11, 2025 URI 67 – 64 RICH
Feb 22, 2024 RICH 85 – 77 URI
Jan 18, 2023 RICH 64 – 57 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings URI RICH
Overall 15-16 24-13
Conference 5-12 10-8
Home 10-5 11-4
Away 3-9 7-5
Neutral 2-2 6-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 71.0
Avg Pts Against 65.3 68.4
Massey 5.2 (#94) 4.9 (#100)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#135) 0.93 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#105) 1.08 (#104)
RPI 0.542 (#97) 0.543 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors URI RICH
FG% 48.7% 45.5%
3PT% 35.0% 34.3%
REB / G 34.4 32.1
OREB / G 8.6 7.4
AST / TO 1.01 1.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 53.0%
TOV% 20.4% 13.9%
ORB% 28.4% 21.4%
FT Rate 26.8% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 21.1% 19.6%
DRB% 70.7% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 26.8% 17.8%

Game Analysis

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