Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | KU -330 TTU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | KU -6.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+42.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -5.5 (-2.5) | 136.9 (+48.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.4 (-3.4) | 140.9 (+44.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.8 (-3.8) | 142.5 (+42.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.6 (-2.6) | 141.6 (+43.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-1 | 18-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#9) | 15.4 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#4) | 3.22 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.13 (#2) | 4.07 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#1) | 0.591 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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