Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | BCU +115 ALCN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -1.1 (-1.9) | 129.3 (+7.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -2.7 (-0.3) | 130.2 (+6.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -2.7 (-0.3) | 131.3 (+5.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -2.5 (-0.5) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#328) | -4.3 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#321) | -1.17 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#320) | -1.14 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#329) | 0.464 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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