Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Santa Clara Broncos
78 – 74 OT
FINAL Conference
San Diego Toreros
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · January 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -9.0 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money SCU -430 / USD +330
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +4 152 Won
Massey SCU -10.8 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 144.5 (+7.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -8.5 (-4.5) 145.5 (+6.5) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -9.1 (-5.1) 146.0 (+6.0) 81% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -9.7 (-5.7) 146.1 (+5.9) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -8.7 (-4.7) 144.7 (+7.3) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU USD
Overall 21-12 15-16
Conference 10-5 7-9
Home 14-4 8-6
Away 5-6 4-8
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 63.9
Avg Pts Against 71.9 68.7
Massey 6.7 (#80) -0.7 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 1.01 (#95) 0.21 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.58 (#84) 0.47 (#140)
RPI 0.549 (#92) 0.514 (#148)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU USD
FG% 48.2% 42.9%
3PT% 37.9% 33.1%
REB / G 34.9 36.4
OREB / G 7.8 9.9
AST / TO 1.25 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 47.6%
TOV% 17.0% 19.1%
ORB% 24.1% 28.3%
FT Rate 21.2% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 15.8%
DRB% 71.6% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.6% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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