Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | FAMU -115 JKST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -0.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.0 (+4.0) | 126.7 (+4.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.4 (+3.4) | 129.2 (+1.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.1 (+3.1) | 126.7 (+4.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.5 (+3.5) | 127.5 (+3.5) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAMU 70 – 60 JKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JKST 80 – 60 FAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | JKST 66 – 65 FAMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JKST 91 – 76 FAMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FAMU 76 – 71 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#310) | -5.6 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#310) | -1.51 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#319) | -1.96 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#311) | 0.433 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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