Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | ME +360 UNH -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -14.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -13.1 (+20.1) | 129.4 (+5.6) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -12.3 (+19.3) | 130.7 (+4.3) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -12.7 (+19.7) | 133.9 (+1.1) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -12.5 (+19.5) | 131.6 (+3.4) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -19.3 (#355) | -1.9 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.81 (#358) | -0.93 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.25 (#357) | -1.32 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.324 (#357) | 0.475 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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