Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | COLG -700 L-MD +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -9.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -9.4 (+3.6) | 138.0 (-21.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -6.7 (+6.3) | 140.3 (-23.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -6.3 (+6.7) | 140.2 (-23.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -7.4 (+5.6) | 138.0 (-21.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#136) | -4.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | -0.40 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#223) | -0.82 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#221) | 0.464 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.