Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
| Money | COPP +120 HOW -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -4.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -3.8 (+5.8) | 153.4 (+10.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -2.8 (+4.8) | 152.4 (+11.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -3.0 (+5.0) | 152.7 (+11.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -4.0 (+6.0) | 153.1 (+10.9) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 3-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-16 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#302) | 0.0 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#288) | -1.15 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#284) | -0.96 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#268) | 0.426 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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