Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UMES +130 NCCU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -4.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -3.9 (-15.9) | 136.3 (+1.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -1.7 (-13.7) | 133.8 (+4.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -2.3 (-14.3) | 134.3 (+3.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -2.5 (-14.5) | 137.0 (+1.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | NCCU 83 – 76 UMES |
| Mar 3, 2026 | NCCU 77 – 73 UMES |
| Feb 2, 2026 | NCCU 65 – 63 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UMES 68 – 59 NCCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NCCU 88 – 69 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Home | 6-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#276) | -7.6 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#276) | -1.55 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#310) | -2.62 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#244) | 0.435 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.