Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | UTM -115 SIUE -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -1.5 (+4.5) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -0.4 (+5.6) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.2 (+5.8) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -0.6 (+5.4) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#293) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#298) | -1.27 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#296) | -1.73 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#280) | 0.450 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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