Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | DEL -125 TOW +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -0.9 (-6.1) | 143.3 (-12.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -0.2 (-6.8) | 148.3 (-17.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -0.4 (-6.6) | 149.6 (-18.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -0.7 (-6.3) | 147.1 (-16.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | 5.6 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#86) | 0.84 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#94) | 1.14 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#90) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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