Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | BALL +120 M-OH -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -2.3 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.4 (+18.4) | 152.5 (-7.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.2 (+18.2) | 152.8 (-7.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -1.7 (+18.7) | 153.4 (-8.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.5 (+18.5) | 153.5 (-8.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Mar 7, 2025 | M-OH 79 – 66 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | M-OH 80 – 59 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | M-OH 87 – 80 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | -1.1 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#255) | -0.46 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#255) | -0.40 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#273) | 0.455 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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