Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -1000 W&M +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -15.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -11.2 (-10.2) | 151.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -11.5 (-10.5) | 153.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -11.6 (-10.6) | 153.4 (-6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -12.2 (-11.2) | 153.6 (-6.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | COFC 88 – 79 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2025 | W&M 90 – 75 COFC |
| Feb 20, 2024 | COFC 65 – 57 W&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COFC 84 – 83 W&M |
| Jan 16, 2023 | COFC 82 – 54 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#161) | -12.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | -2.26 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#166) | -3.19 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#152) | 0.395 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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