Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | TCU +125 TEX -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +23 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -1.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.1 (-21.9) | 122.4 (+0.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -0.8 (-23.8) | 121.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -0.9 (-23.9) | 124.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -0.4 (-23.4) | 124.8 (-1.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 16-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#48) | 14.2 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#30) | 2.12 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#26) | 3.11 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#54) | 0.563 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 39.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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